Accuracy vs Precision in Algorithmic Trading Using Machine Learning Models
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When developing machine learning (ML) models for algorithmic trading, one of the key challenges is determining the trade-off between accuracy and precision. Accuracy measures the overall correctness of predictions, while precision focuses on the relationship between true positives (money-making bets) and false positives (money-losing bets). This trade-off directly influences the expected Sharpe ratio, which is critical for assessing the risk-adjusted return of a trading strategy. By analyzing the outcomes of market bets within specific time windows, practitioners can identify target metrics to optimize both model training and validation.